This bloody weather…

Hello lovely readers. I’ve been a bit quiet on the blog of late and I’m going to be sorting that out this week.

Today we have an article from one of our guest writers – John Mac, long term pro punter and tipster. I’ll hand you over to John:

“Hands up all those who have suffered probably their worst ever start to the turf flat season this year?

If I could do a head count of all those with one long arm pointing skywards I would probably be here all day counting!

The results come in and the head starts shaking in disbelief. Atrocious weather combined with desperate ground has created a minefield for punters some of whom may turn their backs on the game once and for all.

Surely the rain will relent eventually? It must do.

But what will happen then?

One dry spell of around a week and out will come the punters worst enemy – one even more feared than the rain itself.

The watering systems.

Is there a way to combat these adverse conditions?  Well it certainly isn’t easy. Probably one of the most feared and revered tipsters of recent years, ATRs much heralded Hugh Taylor, as recently as yesterday managed to hit his 46th consecutive losing tip.

Now that is one mother of a run.

I’m sure he will be tearing his hair out. His selection process won’t have changed, his in depth analysis will be ongoing and his value pricing up will still be in operation.

But the Midas touch has deserted him.

Is there a secret formula he can use to recover his form?

The simple answer is an emphatic NO.

All he can do is carry on in his tried and tested manner – the same manner in which he has operated during his many successful years working for and proofing to the ATR website.

The reality is there is never any rhyme or reason to punting successfully (or otherwise). All you can do is develop a technique that sits comfortably with your betting style. If it has served you well over the acid testing ground that is time itself then try not to deviate from that modus operandi.

Time and consistent success should tell you, deep down, works for you, whatever the recent twists and turns of statistical variance.

Losing runs are the dread of professional punters and tipsters alike but, if you stick around long enough, they are as unavoidable as death and taxes.

To survive them and continue to thrive, you need the constitution of an ox, the patience of a saint and an unshakeable belief in your own ability.

Me? Im off to church.

Be Lucky.

John Mac. Professional Punter and Tipster. ”

 

2 comments

  1. Hi John

    Not sure where you are getting a 46 losing run for Hugh Taylor. His ATR selections are showing a profit to advised stakes for the year. Obviously not happening in theory given price pressures but I don’t see where the figure of 46 is coming from.

    EJ

  2. EJ, Hughs losing run infact hit over 50 before he found another winner. The reason why I highlighted him was for the purpose of showing what a tough time the current weather is giving everybody.

    I have great respect for Hugh as a tipster / analyst as he is one of the better ones you will ever come across, however, even the best can get battered by our current climate.

    Here is a list of Hughs bets through June when he managed to still scrape a profit at advised prices even though he hit over 50 consequetive losers. ( I think Invisible Man was 5th but some obscure bookie may have been payin 5 places EW hence why the site claim a small profit on race.

    Following on from Imperial Djay, he hit the wall.

    Hugh Taylor – June 2012
    Date Selection(s) Stake Odds Advised Profit/Loss
    01/06/2012 Highland Knight 1 12 12
    Inffiraaj 1 4.5 -1
    02/06/2012 Swinging Hawk 1 7 -1
    Fiery Lad 1 14 14
    03/06/2012 Stellar Express 2 25 37.5
    04/06/2012 Meetings Man ew 2 20 -2
    Crimson Monarch 1 9 -1
    05/06/2012 Tatty 1 20 -1
    06/06/2012 Stellar Express 1 3 3
    Main Line 1 7 -1
    07/06/2012 Ermyn Flyer 1 16 -1
    Tilsworth Glenboy 1 3 -1
    08/06/2012 Klynch 1 7 -1
    Balti’s Sister 1 8 -1
    09/06/2012 Ocean Legend 1 16 -1
    Imperial Djay 1 8 8
    Festival Dance 1 25 -1
    10/06/2012 Captain Tidds 1 5 -1
    11/06/2012 Chelsea Mick 1 14 -1
    Consistant 1 7 -1
    12/06/2012 Jane Lachatte 1 4 -1
    Sarangoo 1 6 -1
    13/06/2012 Gadobout Dancer 1 14 -1
    Islesman 2 7 -2
    14/06/2012 Jennifer J 1 6.5 -1
    Yourelikemefrank 2w 1pl 3 16 -3
    15/06/2012 Racy ew 2 7 -2
    Royal Box 1 6 -1
    16/06/2012 Hanoverian Baron 2 11 -2
    Dubai Dynamo 1 10 -1
    Doncaster Rover 1 8 -1
    17/06/2012 Dubai Glory 1 7 -1
    18/06/2012 Striker Torres 1 8 -1
    Jinker Noble 1 10 -1
    19/06/2012 Sir Prancealot 1 5 -1
    Elyaadi 1 9 -1
    Dark Ranger 1 12 -1
    Cosmic Chatter 1 20 -1
    20/06/2012 Sovereign Debt 1 16 -1
    Valbchek 1 8 -1
    Invisible Man ew 2 25 5.25
    Satsuma 2 20 -2
    Hoyam 1 25 -1
    21/06/2012 Chapter Seven 1 20 -1
    Rewarded 1 16 -1
    Nicholascopernicus 3 9 -3
    22/06/2012 Intense Pink ew 2 66 -2
    Qaraaba 1 9 -1
    Imperial Djay 1 20 -1
    23/06/2012 Dunaden 2 8 -2
    Maarek 2 14 -2
    Mac’s Power 1 15 -1
    Cill Rialaig ew 2 20 -2
    24/06/2012 Kathlatino 1 6.5 -1
    25/06/2012 Kyanight 1 7.5 -1
    Fama Mac 1 5.5 -1
    26/06/2012 Whitecrest 1 4.5 -1
    27/06/2012 Amaze 1 14 -1
    Riva’s Rhapsody 1 2.75 -1
    28/06/2012 Sarah Berry 1 6.5 -1
    Aubrietia 1 5.5 -1
    29/06/2012 Whitby Jet 1 6 -1
    Red Shuttle 1 6.5 -1
    30/06/2012 Highland Knight 1 3.33 -1
    Sirvino 1 5.5 -1
    Monthly Profit 7.75

    Hope this helps quantify the point I was trying to make,

    Rgds

    John

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