I know that the set up and general attitude at the Henderson yard is not everybody’s cup of tea and, judging from reports I’ve heard, I’m not sure I’d fancy being one of the smaller owners at the yard.
However, that being said, I am a big fan of the yard in general and there are many, many profitable angles to be found in the Seven Barrows runners.
Last year I found a very decent angle involving Henderson hurdlers in December (You can read that article here) – that angle produced a very nice 9.44 points at SP from just 67 bets last December.
I’ll be following that one again this year but in the shorter term, I think he has some strong runners at this weekend’s Cheltenham Open meeting particularly in the Racing Post Hurdle on Sunday.
Racing Post Hurdle
Henderson is double handed at the head of the market with Darlan and Cash and Go.
Darlan looks the perfect type to win it and there’s been plenty of money to support that view. I could see him winning very comfortably indeed and I’m going in fairly heavy at the 5/2 currently available with most firms. (Most annoyingly when I started writing this post yesterday there was plenty of 100/30 available) I think that price still represents some decent value and he’s likely to be shorter come Sunday.
Henderson has a 50% win strike rate (80% place) with his favourites at the open meeting. and those favourites have produced an SP profit of more than 8 points from only 10 bets in recent years.
Cash and Go is a very interesting Irish recruit and, although I’m struggling to see past Darlan for the winner, I wouldn’t put you off a little each way tickle on this one at the generally available 7/1.
As an interest bet, I’ll be putting both those horses in very small permed each way doubles with Nadiya de la Vega and Quantativeeasing in the Paddy Power Gold Cup on Saturday in the hope that Henderson can have a riotous weekend overall!
Grand Crus is clearly the most likely winner of that race but 2/1 is a joke of a price -that ludicrous pricing at the head of the market has created plenty of value down the field and both Nadiya and Quantativeasing are too big (currently 16/1 and 20/1 best price respectively)
That’s all from me for today but I will be back before the weekend with further thoughts.
PS I’ve noticed that Triolo d’Alene is being strongly supported in the PP gold cup but I think age counts strongly against that one. He would have to be an exceptional 5 year old to win this (5 year olds are 0 from 13 over the last 10 years) and considering how badly he weakened up the hill in his only run at Cheltenham, I’m prepared to let him run.