Daly/Johnson

A very brief post today, dear friends, just to point out an interesting development I have noticed.

Yesterday, Henry Daly and Richard Johnson paired up for a very nice 33/1 double at Warwick – representing a 100% strike rate for both of them on the day.

Not the most amazing news in the world, I hear you say – and you’d be right. It happens all the time that a jockey and trainer pair up for a double, treble or more. What I did notice and find interesting was that, in previous years, the Johnson/Daly partnership has been poor:

Runs:    689                    Wins:     122                  P/L: -122.4 points (at SP)

However, since the turn of the year, they have paired up on 5 separate occasions –  all of which resulted in a winner. Since 1st January backing all of Henry Daly’s horses ridden by Richard Johnson would have resulted in a 100% strike rate and a level stakes profit of 16.9 points at SP.

Pretty impressive! It’s probably an anomaly but it’s certainly worth keeping a close eye on.

Have a great weekend

Kieran

PS I might be bonkers but I think Dynaste is overpriced in the Cleeve Hurdle tomorrow. I know the Pipe stable think the world of this horse and if he doesn’t go off at quite such a suicidal pace as last time, I think he can give Big Bucks a run for his money. Currently 9/1 with SJ, I’ll be having a little of that each way. Mourad is clearly a danger for the place money but I think we’re getting a reasonable price to find out.

PPS Based on his run at Kempton in the King George,  I don’t think Captain Chris will get home over the extra distance (or the Cheltenham hill) in the Argento Chase tomorrow. He’s way too short at 9/4 generally and that’s creating plenty of value elsewhere. I think both Time for Rupert and Midnight Chase are offering value at their respective prices. I’ll also be a layer of Captain Chris if he gets any shorter!

 

 

 

 

 

Technorati Tags: , , , , , , ,

 

6 comments

  1. a friend of mine told me that johnson is the son in law of Henry daly and to keep an eye on this combo. But as can be seen by the record over the years it has not really paid off. This is likely to be an anomaly but if someone were to dig deeper into it – if this fact is true about thier family relationship- then it might produce better figures- i.e. what is the strike rate for the graded races?

     
  2. Hi, good spot and check johnsons connection with Richard Philips. Whenever he rides for him the horse nearly always runs a big race. Good source for the place betting.

    cheers denis.

     
  3. Following on from your stats on Johnson and Daly. The pair have a 45% strike rate under the following conditions
    Track : Haydock, Hereford, Huntingdon and Warwick
    Race Class -3, 4 and 5 only
    Race Distance – 2m1f & 3m6½f
    Race Type: Maiden Hurdle, Handicap Chase, Handicap Novices Chase
    Odds – 13/8 & 8/1
    Bets: 33 Wins: 15 WinStrike: 45.5% Profit: 40.96

     

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *