Just a short post today I’m afraid, my dear people.
I was intending to post tomorrow but I just read a brief analysis of the Top 3 Market for BBC Sports Personality of the Year. The analysis made a lot of sense to me and I thought I’d get a post out now as the price I like could disappear.
The analysis appeared in the Oddschecker “Odds Squad” daily update email and I’ve reproduced it in full below:
“The 10 candidates for Sports Personality of the Year have been announced, with not a woman in sight. The three golfers are all differing characters with sound reasoning, so they can be relied on to have their votes split and this opens up the top 3 market. It appears Cavendish will get a big push, but he could feasibly flop. Assuming he and one golfer finish top three, we make the third spot a match between Mo Farah (5/6) and Alastair Cook (11/2). Farah’s biggest challenge is to come in 2012, and his unassuming manner and ‘otherness’ in some eyes may hamper votes. Cook’s dominance of the Aussies and spearheading of the rise to #1 in an ever-more popular sport is far more solid.”
I don’t wholly agree with the idea that Mo Farah’s “otherness” will damage his chances (I would hope the British sporting public are a bit more inclusive than that) but I do think that Cook’s achievements in Australia this year will carry more weight in the voting.
11/2 to finish in the top 3 looks very big to me and I’ve had a decent chunk of it at Totesport. There is currently a straight arb available with Cook being available to lay at 6.2 on the machine but I think I will let it run for a while.
I often find the oddschecker update email of real use in getting me thinking about events I might usually overlook. It’s also a funny read at times. I’ve been trying to find out how I signed up for it but for the life of me can’t see where you can do it on the site. I’m guessing that you receive it as long as you have an account there. Well worth having.
I had intended to post my thoughts on Gary Speed but, to be honest, everything I’ve written seems wholly inadequate. My heart goes out to his wife and sons.
I’ll be back later in the week